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The most important event in Indian Telecom is the imminent deregulation
of domestic and international long distance services which are to
be deregulated completely and Internet Service Providers (ISPs)
to be allowed free rein. The target is to increase number of Inernet
users to about 1.5~2 million. This means handling 56 Giga Bytes
per second (GBPS) at full load. The strategy for long term planning
envisaged by DoT is based on a terrestrial OFC network, dedicated
by requirements of terrain and special users. DoT aims to convert
100 percent of the existing mechanical telephone exchange into electronic
exchanges, of which the entire transmission will be through the
digital system using OFCs. DoT plans to opticalise entire transmission
by 2007.
Currently, majority of Aksh's business is from the DoT. It also
executes export orders by participating in tenders overseas and
orders from private operators such as Spectranet, Bharti Telenet,
etc. The non-DoT business forms 30% of the total turnover. Efforts
are on to increase this percentage to 50% of the total by diversifying
the customer base.
Since, for developing economies, the rate of growth of Telecom sector
is 2.5~3 times their GDP growth, it is expected that the demand
for OFC would grow by not less than 20-25%, considering average
annual growth rate of GDP of 7% for India over the next 5 years.
As in other matured industries, 2-3 large and efficient players
would have a major share of the market. Since AKSH has been an early
entrant and a leader, with special operating economies because of
control over input costs, more specifically over cost of Optic Fiber
and FRP rod, together accounting for appx. 66% of Optical Fibre
Cable cost, AKSH would be the undisputed market leader.
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"The
above estimates are of KMI, USA., who predict the global markets
to grow by 15.2% p.a., with demand growth from third world countries
estimated to be 2.5 ~ 3 times the demand growth from the developed
world, primarily because the developing nations are not at near-saturation
telephone density, which is the case with the developed market."
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Worldwide
Deployment of Cabled Fibre by Application (000s of F-km)
| Application/Year |
2001 |
2002 |
2004 |
| Multimode |
3467 |
4144 |
6161 |
| Other |
4120 |
4806 |
8288 |
| Cable
TV |
7771 |
8145 |
9822 |
|
Feeder/Local |
28113 |
33811 |
57803 |
| Long
Haul |
30094 |
25612 |
21307 |
| India
Long Distance |
1200 |
2000 |
6000 |
Aksh
already has an established presence in United States. It is also
exporting to UK, Indonesia, Thailand, Taiwan, Israel and Jordan.
Efforts are on to enter the neighbouring high-growth telecom markets.
Aksh has signed an export contract for US$172 million for cables
to USA to be supplied over the next three years. There are several
other potential negotiations in progress, which includes possible
supplies to neighbouring countries, like China. Few key orders from
Fortune 500 companies for supply of cables as OEM products are also
expected shortly. The product is being used for LAN Networking,
Cable TV and Telecom. The foreign exchange earnings through exports
amounted to Rs. 24.07 crores as against Rs. 4.09 crores in the previous
year representing an increase of 488% over last year.In terms of
exports, over the next three years, the company expects total exports
to be approx. $ 200 million.
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